Friday, June 8, 2012

Euro 2012 Prediction


The tournament is just about to get underway in a couple of hours and so here are my predictions!
Group A
Russia topped their group in qualifying for Euro 2012, conceding only 4 goals in 10 matches, and they will top this group as well.
Behind them will be co-hosts Poland who go into Euro 2012 with the second youngest squad at the tournament. Despite their youthfulness, they have players who will offer more of a goal threat than Greece or the Czech Republic, who are heavily reliant on the creativity of their captain Tomas Rosicky and the goals from Milan Baros who is under an injury cloud.
Poland will look to their captain Jakub Blaszczykowski and striker Robert Lewandowski, who scored 22 goals in the German Bundesliga, to carry on the form that helped their club Borussia Dortmund to the title last season.
Greece will set out to defend, something they did well in the qualifiers having conceded only 5 goals in 10 games. However, as New Zealand showed at the 2010 World Cup, three draws do not get you into the next round! Just like the Greek economy at the moment, this team will be at the bottom.
Group B
The so-called “Group of Death” featuring the Netherlands, Germany, Portugal and Denmark. Given the quality of players across the board, this is also the glamour group. From one of the greatest players in the world in Portugal’s Cristiano Ronaldo, to the Netherlands’ Robin van Persie, both of whom are coming off barnstorming domestic seasons. As the chants go, “He scores when he wants”!
van Persie has a bit more star support in the likes of Arjen Robben and Wesley Sneijder however! The Dutch also have Klaas-Jan Huntelaar who finished as top goalscorer in the German Bundesliga with 29 goals for Schalke. Then there’s a German team playing dynamic, free-flowing football and currently averaging three goals per game. Oh, and a young rising star in Denmark’s Christian Eriksen.
So how does this group pan out then? Germany is only one of two teams with 100% records in qualifying but the Dutch also had a 100% record until they lost their final match against Sweden having already sealed qualification. The Germans conceded 7 goals in 10 games whilst the Dutch conceded 8 goals in 10 games. On that basis, most bookmakers have the Germans favourite to top this group. However, given their recent defensive frailties in the pre-Euro friendly internationals, I am going to pick the Dutch for top spot and Germany second.
Although Denmark beat Portugal twice during qualifying and ended topping the group, I think Portugal will get revenge here and finish above the Danes.
Group C
Easy group winner to pick here. It is the other team to finish with a 100% record in qualifying, the current European and World Champions, Spain. Ole! Despite the loss of David Villa upfront, Fernando Torres seems to have realised where the goal is just in time!
Italy will finish second, provided they do not play Mario Balotelli who, by all accounts, will be a liability! Defensively, the Italians were very solid during qualifying, conceding only 2 goals in 10 matches and ending up undefeated. Of course, the downside is that they have the ‘calcioscommesse' scandal back home affecting their domestic football.
Croatia will finish third, just ahead of Ireland.
Group D
When I reviewed the England squad announcement in my last blog, I wrote that France would top the group with England behind them. I think that will still be the case provided England does not pick up further injuries. They have already lost Gareth Barry and Gary Cahill, and Roy Hodgson has only called up one adequate replacement in Phil Jagielka. No disrespect to Martin Kelly, and Rio Ferdinand aside, there were easily other choices that Hodgson could have made.
So it would not surprise me if Sweden sneaks into that second spot. Remember, England play Sweden in the second group match with Wayne Rooney still suspended. At least for English fans’ sake, Andy Carroll has also realised where the goals are, much like Torres!
Co-hosts Ukraine will not present much threat to these three teams and will finish last.
Quarterfinals
So therefore the QF matches will be:
Russia
vs
Germany
Netherlands
vs
Poland
Spain
vs
England
France
vs
Italy

Semi-finals
Germany
vs
Spain
Netherlands
vs
Italy

Finals
Spain
vs
Netherlands

Looks like we will have a repeat of the 2010 World Cup final!
Can Spain become the first team to win the Euros twice either side of a World Cup? Given their depth of talent, they possibly could. However, I think the Dutch will get one over Spain this time round!

That's assuming that the Dutch haven't walked off the pitch beforehand of course! This is something that their captain Mark van Bommel has stated they will do in the face of racism and a stance I agree with. Hopefully they do not get punished given the comments from UEFA President Michel Platini.

In this day and age, in such a multicultural society, there simply is NO place for racism.

KICK IT OUT - LET'S KICK RACISM OUT OF FOOTBALL