Saturday, June 16, 2012

EURO 2012 Final Group Matches Preview


Two games down and one to go for the teams in Euro 2012. The current standings in each of the groups are as follows:
Group A
Russia, the pre-tournament favourites to finish as group winners, are living up to their billing. They should easily see off Greece in their final group match to seal top spot. Who follows Russia through to the quarterfinals will come down to the other final group match between the Czech Republic and co-hosts Poland. As per the pre-tournament preview, Poland seal that second spot with a comfortable win over the Czechs.
Group B
The Netherlands, my pre-tournament pick as the Euro 2012 winners, are in a lot of strife as the “Group of Death” lives up to its name! They have simply been impotent upfront and farcical in defence. Given the results in this group so far, any team is still mathematically in with a chance of qualifying! Although Germany top the group with 2 wins out of 2, should they lose to Denmark and Portugal defeats the Netherlands, the Germans could face elimination depending on the resulting goal differences!
For the Netherlands, the equation is simple. They need to beat Portugal by a 2-goal margin and rely on their neighbours Germany beating Denmark. Although the Germans only need a draw to qualify, they will not go out to play for a draw and should see off the Danes. Germany have been solid and it just goes to show that friendlies are not a true indicator of form as teams tinker with personnel and tactics.
So will the Netherlands finish second behind the Germans? It will be a hard ask given their poor performances so far. Expect a scoring draw for this one with Cristiano Ronaldo to break his tournament duck and that should be enough to see the Portuguese into the quarterfinals.
Group C
As expected, Spain are top of the group, and after seeing off Croatia in a tight final group match, will finish as group winners. Italy will finish second by putting a couple past Ireland’s shocking defence which is as leaky as a sieve, surprisingly so given that they only conceded 7 goals in 10 games during the Euro 2012 qualifiers. Even Fernando Torres, the £50m striker who could hardly hit the side of a barn for most of the season, put 2 goals past them! The Irish have nothing left to play for except salvaging some pride.
Group D
France should top this group with a win against Sweden who, like Ireland, have nothing left to play for except pride. England and co-hosts Ukraine will battle it out for the second spot with the Ukrainians needing a win to make it through to the quarter-finals. The Ukrainians, led by their star striker and captain Andriy Shevchenko, have been impressive on home soil and cannot be discounted! However, with Wayne Rooney back for England after his 2 match suspension, he will be chomping at the bit to be let loose on the pitch and do not be surprised to see his name on the scoresheet!
So how will the quarterfinals pan out? Let’s have a look:
Quarterfinals
Russia
Vs
Portugal
Germany
Vs
Poland
Spain
Vs
England
France
Vs
Italy

Semi-finals

Germany
Vs
Spain
Russia
Vs
Italy

Finals

Spain
Vs
Italy

Given the Netherlands’ dismal performances so far in this tournament, it has opened the door for Italy to make it into the finals against tournament favourites Spain who will become the first team to win the Euros twice either side of a World Cup! They have played some sexy passing football so far and on that basis, should be deserved winners for playing attractive football!

On a side note, Alan Dzagoev will finish joint top goalscorer on the back of Russia’s run to the semis. Joint with whom you ask? The German with the not so German name, Mario Gomez!