World Cup 2014 Knockout Rounds

The Group stages have come to a conclusion, bringing us to the business end of the World Cup as we begin the knockout stages starting with the Round of 16 tonight. Now there are no second chances - lose and that is it, time to pack the bags!

But what a World Cup this has been! There have been goals galore with 136 goals scored thus far at an average of 2.83 goals per game. This is the highest since 1970 where the average was 2.96. Except for Greece, all the remaining teams have a strong attacking disposition so do not be surprised to see the average holding up or even increasing.

Apart from Cristiano Ronaldo, who probably was not 100% fit to be honest, the big stars have stood up so far in this tournament. Especially Lionel Messi and Neymar. The Dutch duo of Bat-van (van Persie) and Robben also lit up the Group stages with 3 goals apiece. Two other players of note who have stood are Colombian midfielder James Rodriguez and Mexican goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa who single-handedly kept Brazil goalless in their match-up. Uruguayan forward Luis Suarez recovered quickly from a minor knee operation four weeks prior to Uruguay's second Group match against England and was an animal as he scored 2 goals to flatten England. However, he took his animal instincts to another level in the final Group match against Italy as he bit Giorgio Chiellini on the shoulder, the third time he has bitten a rival player on the football pitch! Suarez has subsequently been expelled from the tournament by FIFA, banned for nine international matches and barred from any football activity for four months.

There were certainly shocks and surprises as well with Costa Rica, Greece, Algeria and the United States making it through whilst defending champions Spain were sent packing along with Italy, England and Portugal. Apart from England, I had certainly expected Spain, Italy and Portugal to progress. All three teams were disappointing to watch though and deserve to be on the plane home.

So how does the Round of 16 look now? Here you go:

Brazil v Chile

Colombia v Uruguay

Netherlands v Mexico

Costa Rica v Greece

France v Nigeria

Germany v Algeria

Argentina v Switzerland 

Belgium v United States

Bold teams represent author's correct picks whilst the Netherlands in italics had been picked to finish second in their Group initially.

Interesting note is that 5 out of 6 CONMEBOL teams have made it through keeping in line with the tradition of South American sides doing well in tournaments held on the continent. Ecuador was the only team to miss out and was my pick to have edged out Switzerland.

So having watched and observed the teams leading to this stage, here are now my predictions:

Quarter-finals:

Brazil v Colombia

France v Germany

Netherlands v Costa Rica

Argentina v Belgium 

Semi-finals:

Brazil v Germany

Netherlands v Argentina

Final:

Germany v Netherlands --> Germany

Third-place playoff:

Brazil v Argentina --> Brazil

Betfair currently have Germany third favourites to win the World Cup at $5.50, just behind Argentina on $5.40 whilst Brazil still are the favourites at $4.20.

You can get $13.50 for a Germany/Netherlands final or $7.60 for a Germany/Argentina final on Betfair. The Brazil/Argentina is still the favourite and priced at $6.

World Cup 2014 Predictions

In less than 30 hours, the next edition of the FIFA World Cup kicks off with hosts Brazil taking on Croatia in the opening match.

The squads for all 32 competing nations have been finalised, barring any last minute injuries. Qualification form and friendly results leading up to this magical occasion can be thrown out the window as anything can happen in football!

That being said, punters still like to predict the outcomes of these events and so here is my prediction for all those who fancy a punt! The squads have been analysed, team tactics have been analysed, amd even the forecasted weather for each match has been analysed. Check out the fantastic website for that at: http://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/fifa_world_cup_weather.asp

Round of 16:

Brazil v Netherlands

Ivory Coast v Uruguay

Spain v Croatia

Italy v Colombia

France v Bosnia

Germany v Korea 

Argentina v Ecuador (who edge out Switzerland in the Group stages on goal difference)

Belgium v Portugal

Quarter-finals:

Brazil v Uruguay

France v Germany

Spain v Italy

Argentina v Portugal

Semi-finals:

Brazil v Germany

Spain v Argentina

Final:

Brazil v Argentina --> Brazil

Third-place playoff:

Germany v Spain --> Spain

As you can see, it definitely will be a tough run all the way to the final for Brazil with the whole weight of expectation of the home nation on their shoulders. But if they can make it past Netherlands, Uruguay and Germany then they definitely deserve to win in the final too. Just cannot see them losing to their hated rivals Argentina on home soil. 

Of course, Brazil could slip up at any stage with all the banana peels in the way. Remember, they did lose to the Netherlands 2-1 in the last World Cup in South Africa after taking the lead initially.

Argentina's "soft" run to the semi-finals might cost them as they may not be mentally prepared but I pick them over Spain to make the final because Spain will have a tough game against Italy and could be jaded by the time they face Lionel Messi and co. Come finals time though, Messi could go missing in the match just like he had at the tail-end of Barcelona's season when he was needed most.

Odds are currently $9.40 on the Brazil/Argentina quinella. The Brazil/Spain quinella now down to $12 after some heavy trading at $14.

Of course, injuries and suspensions could also change all this but on the face of it, I think Brazil should win this one at home.

A lot has been made about an European team never having won the World Cup on South American soil but to be honest, despite my prediction, there is no reason why Spain or Germany could not walk away with the World Cup trophy. Those looking at historical trends, there have only been six World Cups held in South America. Some scientists might argue that that is not enough data! Another factor to consider is that majority of the matches will be played in the cooler part of Brazil so the heat and humidity should not be too much of an issue for European teams. That said, plenty of Brazilians, Argentinians and Uruguayans play their club football in Europe these days as well.

Should Brazil make it all the way, look for Neymar to be the player of the tournament and Golden Boot winner given that he takes free-kicks and penalties for the Seleção. Odds are currently $12 on Neymar to win the Golden Boot. Given Argentina's run to the final though, Messi is rightly favourite in the Golden Boot market at $8.60 as he too takes free-kicks and penalties for La Albiceleste. Gonzalo Higuaín is nicely priced at $21 having only trailed behind Messi by one goal in the World Cup Qualifiers.

Should Luis Suarez be fit to start Uruguay's World Cup opener against Costa Rica then he would be a juicy pick at $25 given his goalscoring exploits and clinical penalties this season. Otherwise save your money.

The dark horse for the Golden Boot would be Belgium's Romelu Lukaku if he scores 3 or 4 against Algeria and puts 1 or 2 past Korea and Russia in the Group stages. He could even pick a goal up against Portugal in the Round of 16. Worth a flutter at $27!

Happy punting! And for those not punting, sit back and enjoy the spectacle of the world game!

Disclaimer: This author takes no responsibility if you lose your own home. Bet at your own risk! Remember to bet within your limits and gamble responsibly.

Pembroke Old Scholars Girls Soccer Club v Flinders Flames Div 2 - Community Cup Match Report 12th May 2013

POSGSC made their debut in a Cup competition today hosting Flinders Flames from Division 2 at Park 17. It was expected to be wet and windy with a maximum of 18 degrees Celsius but turned out to be beautiful weather with the sun peeking through the clouds for most of the match.

 

In what was expected to be a tough encounter, Coach Weng Wong altered the POSGSC line-up with a slightly more defensive formation. The girls came out fired up and put in a dominating first-half performance.

 

Midway through the first half, a diagonal through ball from centreback Katie Budenberg sent winger Emily Gilbert free of the last defender. Gilbert cut in from the right and finished with aplomb past the keeper.

 

This gave the girls even more confidence as they continued to dominate the match. Budenberg and fellow centreback Young Nang Jung were making key interceptions in defence with sweeper Emma McBean making vital stops when needed. Defensive midfielder Lauren Lepore has come into form the last couple of matches and today was her best match to-date, adding a steeliness to the midfield.

 

Just before half-time the Queens extended their lead with a clinical finish from playmaker Jakarra Hill after an assist from striker Sarah Lowe. Hill, who picked up last week's Best-on-Ground award for POSGSC, was playing up to her usual high standards - taking on players, looking for the killer pass and tracking back to help out in defence.

 

Unfortunately it turned out to be a game of two halves as the Flames came out wanting to get themselves back into the match. Straight from kick-off they won a corner and with the ball ping-ponging around inside the 6-yard box it was a Flames player who got the vital touch putting the ball into the back of the net.

 

Pembroke had a chance to make it 3-1 and make it difficult for the Flames' comeback when Hill drew two defenders before playing in Gilbert who was 1-on-1 with the Flames' keeper. With the goal gaping at the far post, Gilbert mishit her shot and it flew wide past the near post.

 

With time running out, Wong took off striker Lowe and replaced her with defensive midfielder Edwina Williams hoping to shut down the Flames attacks. However the Queens conceded a corner with only a couple of minutes remaining and as the corner came in, a Flames player had lost her marker and ran straight onto the ball, rifling it first time past keeper and captain Amy Wiseman into the back of the net for the equaliser.

 

Suddenly the wind was knocked out of the Queens' sails but it was important for the girls to lift their heads and see out the match as they went into extra-time with two 10-minute halves to be played. Wong reverted to his starting line-up as he looked to get the girls playing like they did in the first-half.

 

Five minutes into the first half of extra-time though and it was the Flames who took a 3-2 lead when their right-winger was not picked up and finished coolly into the far-post in an identical situation to that of Gilbert's miss.

 

Pembroke were not going to go down without a fight however and 3 minutes later they were back on level terms when Hill returned the favour to Lowe, playing her in with a through ball. Lowe managed to hold off the defender and slotted it in to the corner. Unfortunately for Pembroke though, Hill went off soon after with an old knee injury.

 

The sides then swapped halves as they went straight into the second half of extra-time. Unfortunately it was the Flames who took the lead again with only a few minutes left to play. They then started wasting time making constant interchanges but Pembroke still had an opportunity to take the match into penalties when Lowe found herself free behind the defence and the keeper stuck in no man's land. Lowe shot first time but could not get enough lift on the ball which found its way straight into the keeper's hands.

 

So POSGSC bow out in their first ever Cup match but can definitely hold their heads up high having given a Division 2 team a run for their money. If the girls can keep this sort of form up for the remainder of the season they are definitely in with a chance to compete for the Women's Collegiate Division title.

 

McBean was picked as Best-on-Ground by Wong for today's match and receives a $25 voucher courtesy of POSGSC's major sponsor The Kensi.

 

Next week will see POSGSC travel to last year's third place finishers Mercedes Old Scholars for another tough match. Mercedes recently held St Peter's, 7-0 victors over POSGSC, to a 0-0 draw. Hope to see all POSGSC supporters out for that match! Kick-off at 3pm on Sunday the 19th of May.

 

English League Championship Final Day

Heading into the final day of the English League Championship, several teams had so much to play for. Hull City and Watford were fighting it out for the second automatic promotion spot into the Premier League; Crystal Palace, Bolton Wanderers, Nottingham Forest and Leicester City were looking to seal a Playoff spot; and several teams were still in danger of falling into the last two relegation spots where they would follow Bristol City into League One.

 

Hull ended up drawing 2-2 with champions Cardiff City in a dramatic finale! They missed a penalty in the 4th minute of second-half injury time which would have sealed the win and instead conceded a penalty at the other end which Cardiff dispatched for the equaliser. Watford could not capitalise however, succumbing to a 2-1 defeat at home to Leeds United who really had nothing to play for. Gianfranco Zola's men's jobs were not made any easier when they had to play the last half hour with 10 men thanks to Troy Deeney's sending off. Zola will now have to guide Watford through the playoffs if he is to see himself managing in the Premier League next season.

 

Bolton looked to have stayed in 6th place on the table, the last playoff spot available, with a 2-2 draw at home to Blackpool who, like Leeds, did not have much to play for. However, football can be such a fickle game and with both Forest and Leicester nipping at Bolton's heels, it was Leicester who put the dagger into the hearts of Bolton fans when they scored an injury time winner for a 3-2 away win over Forest.

 

So the playoffs will see Watford versus Leicester and Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace over two legs with the winners going on to face each other at the final in Wembley Stadium to be the third promoted team into the Premier League.

 

The final will be a battle of two Chelsea old boys in Zola and Gus Poyet, with Poyet's Seagulls hitting the jackpot that comes with playing in the Premier League.

 

At the other end of the table though, Wolverhampton Wanderers were always going to struggle to escape relegation as they needed two other results to go their way but that did not matter as Wolves suffered a 2-0 defeat at the hands of the Seagulls to condemn to life in League One next season. After three seasons in the Premier League, Wolves have now embarrassingly suffered their second straight relegation after they finished dead-last in the Premier League last season. Can they stop this downward free-fall?

 

Barnsley looked like they were going to be the third team relegated when they could not hang onto their 2-1 lead away to Huddersfield Town and conceded an equaliser in the 81st minute. At the time, Peterborough United were leading 2-1 at Selhurst Park and Millwall was clinging onto a 0-0 draw at Pride Park Stadium. Barnsley really needed to find a winner!

 

Although Derby ended up scoring with 5 minutes left to defeat Millwall 1-0, it was the events at Selhurst Park that changed everything! In the last 7 minutes, Palace managed to score two goals for a 3-2 win that meant Peterborough dropped into that final relegation spot! Needless to say, Socceroo Mile Jedinak won't be welcome in Peterborough anytime soon as it was he who popped up with the winner for Palace!

 

So I guess the saying is true, "Don't count your chickens until your eggs are hatched"! Football is a funny old game and you never know what is going to happen whilst there is still time on the clock!

 

Pembroke Old Scholars Girls Soccer Club v Westminster Old Scholars - Match Report 28th April 2013

POSGSC got off to a slow start today and allowed Westminster to score their first goal this season in the 15th minute, however the girls then started to shift up gears and managed to pull back an equaliser in the first half. Jakarra Hill with an exquisite diagonal through ball for Amelia Bressington to run onto and Bressington finished with aplomb after using her strength to hold off... her marker chasing back.

Although Westminster continued to pressure POSGSC, Young Nang Jung stood tall in goals, rushing off her line several times and playing the Sweeper Keeper role to perfection. The first half then petered out to an end as both teams made a raft of interchanges with the scores locked at 1-1 as the teams headed to the changerooms (well, POSGSC sheltered under their marquee whilst Westminster headed to the shade given by the trees).

Perhaps the coach's half-time talk had an effect as POSGSC came out dominating the second half. A 3-goal blitz in 6 minutes took the wind out of Westminster's sail and effectively killed the match off.

In the 60th minute Sarah Lowe set up Chelsea Salagaras inside the penalty box and Salagaras fired past the keeper who was rooted to the spot.

2 minutes later Hill won a free-kick just inside the opposition half and knowing that the Westminster keeper was susceptible, coach Weng Wong gave Katie Budenberg licence to shoot despite the distance! Up stepped Budenberg who gave it all she had from 55-yards out and the ball sailed over the keeper's head into the top-right corner!

In the 64th minute Sarah Lowe pounced on the left edge of the 18-yard box to lash home a shot into the keeper's far-post corner.

And with 10 minutes remaining, Hill won another free-kick right on the edge of the area. She dusted herself off to take the kick and fired it into the defensive wall. Lowe though showed her typical striker's poaching skill by swooping on the rebound and firing home her 2nd goal of the season.

So 5-1 it finished, giving POSGSC confidence heading into next week's tough roadtrip to Birdwood Park to face another Women's Collegiate Division favourite Torrens Valley.

But for today, the players and coach could enjoy lunch at their sponsor The Kensi.

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar @ Hindmarsh Stadium - Wrap Up 26th December 2012

After the 6-1 mauling that Adelaide United suffered at the hands of A-League new boys Western Sydney Wanderers all the talk was about bouncing back on Boxing Day. Still in second place on the A-League ladder, they played host to Brisbane Roar who were second bottom with Mike Mulvey on the bench for only his second match in charge. However United were found wanting as they suffered their first defeat at Hindmarsh Stadium this season.

 

It is hard to believe that an away team could be allowed to dominate possession the way the Roar did with 67% of the ball, majority of the times playing in United’s half. John Kosmina’s tactical selection will be called into question as several players underperformed and far too many times were United left with five players at the back to cope with the Roar’s forays forward. Osama Malik, playing in his usual defensive midfield holding role was the sole midfielder defending as Marcelo Carrusca, Fabio Ferreira, Jeronimo Neumann and Dario Vidosic failed to track back quick enough. Carrusca looked to have been playing alongside Malik in that central midfield slot but why the left-footer was playing on the right side is another question that needs to be asked as every time Carrusca went forward he would try to cut back onto his preferred left.

 

The selection of Daniel Bowles at right-back instead of Cameron Watson was disappointing as Bowles’ passing and crossing were poor. Instead, Watson came on for Malik as United were chasing the game. Both Fabian Barbiero and Evan Kostopoulos were also very poor when they came on late in the second half. Barbiero was hardly seen and the one time he had the ball, he casually walked the ball down the left flank and lost it.

 

Bruce Djite is simply not a goalscorer that you can rely on. He has raw power and is a strong lad but just lacks that fine touch. Technically he is not fully developed and that is why he is unable to stake a claim for regular football with an European club.

 

The only notables for United were Eugene Galekovic who pulled off a fantastic save in the first half and Cassio who put in some well-timed tackles.

 

For the Roar, their supposedly out-of-form players Henrique, Mitch Nichols and especially Thomas Broich controlled the midfield. Not hard when your opponent lets you do that! The Roar had 9 shots (6 on target) to United’s 4 shots (2 on target).

 

Overall, United were sluggish and simply outplayed. What Kosmina needed to do was to line-up as follows:

 

                            Galekovic

 

Watson          Fyfe          Boogard          Cassio

 

                     Malik          Carrusca

           Ferreira      Vidosic      Ramsay

 

                            Geronimo

 

Roar’s defence play quite a high line and both Ramsay and Geronimo’s pace could have caught the defenders square.

 

Which begs the question, why did Kosmina not make any tactical changes? Why would you continue playing the way you play when the away team is dominating you at home? 

The Del Piero Effect

World Cup winner and Serie A’s Juventus’ all-time leading goalscorer Alessandro Del Piero arrived in Sydney today to begin what he calls “the start of my new career”, trying to put to rest thoughts of those who think he is here to collect his 2-year retirement cheque reportedly worth $2 million a season.

 

Del Piero’s decision to play in Australia is being compared with David Beckham's impact on the game in the United States when Beckham signed with the Los Angeles Galaxy. Many expect Del Piero to revitalise the struggling A-League, which has suffered from declining crowds and the folding of two teams in the past two seasons. Mind you, Beckham joined the MLS when he was 32 years old. Del Piero is now 37 years old.

 

Without a doubt though, Del Piero is the A-League’s biggest marquee signing and has made an impact already off the field. Sydney FC’s club memberships are on the rise and 15,000 jerseys with Del Piero’s no. 10 and name on the back have been manufactured and are selling fast not just in Australia, but around the world. There have even been accreditation requests from Italian media eager to cover Del Piero's arrival into the A-League.

 

There are expectations that he will be a crowd puller, not just in Sydney, but around Australia and this writer certainly agrees with that. After all, I personally make an effort to attend matches where marquee signings are playing as I have always wanted to see the difference in skill levels. Having seen the likes of Benito Carbone, Dwight Yorke, Robbie Fowler, Brett Emerton and Harry Kewell, all of whom have played in the English Premier League and at the highest levels in Europe, there is definitely a difference on a technical level. However, football is not a one-player sport and even these marquee signings are heavily reliant on their teammates around them.

 

Do not be surprised to even see majority of Australia’s Italian population switch allegiances to Sydney FC now that they have an Italian football legend on board.

 

Will he increase interest at a junior level? Perhaps but that effect is probably miniscule given that football, the round-ball code that is, already has the highest participation numbers in Australia.

 

Thus the key question is how will the rest of the world view the A-League? So he made 28 appearances last season in Italy and is fitter than your average 37 year old but seriously, how credible will the A-League look if he ends up dominating? The A-League will become a laughing stock, if it isn’t already, in world football because other professional players coming to an end of their careers will take it as an opportunity to earn some good coin before retirement.

 

Don’t get me wrong, I am just as excited as any other football lover about Del Piero gracing our shores. Unfortunately however, Del Piero’s arrival will not herald the success of the A-League like Beckham’s arrival in the MLS. In fact, I do not see the A-League lasting long as there is simply no money in it for the clubs. Ask yourself, would you want to own a business with little or no profits?

Transfer D-Day!

The summer transfer window has slammed shut for another year and clubs will now have to wait until January 2013 to get new players into the squad on permanent transfers.

 

The Notables

 

Roberto Mancini had been complaining all summer about EPL Champions Manchester City's lack of movement in the transfer market with Everton's Jack Rodwell their only signing to date. Then on the final day of the transfer window, City brought in the quintet of Javi Garcia, Matija Nastasic, Maicon, Scott Sinclair and Richard Wright. City got rid of their fringe players like Emmanuel Adebayor, Roque Santa Cruz, Stefan Savic and Adam Johnson but the most surprising transfer out was Nigel de Jong, who only had a year left on his contract, to AC Milan. The new signings will certainly give Mancini more depth to compete in all competitions this season.

City's rivals Manchester United did not get involved in the deadline day shenanigans besides letting Dimitar Berbatov join Fulham. Sir Alex Ferguson had done his major business pre-season, signing the likes of Shinji Kagawa and Robin Van Persie, both of whom have already scored for their new club. However, Sir Alex really needed more cover for his backline as playing Michael Carrick as a central defender is clearly not working. Unfortunately, United have been unlucky with injuries given they already have five central defenders in Nemanja Vidic, Rio Ferdinand, Phil Jones, Jonathan Evans and Chris Smalling.

 

Like United, reigning European Champions Chelsea had most of their major signings done during the pre-season and the £32 million spent on Eden Hazard alone looks like money well spent with the Belgian settling into the EPL with 4 assists and 1 goal in his first 3 EPL matches. With plenty of numbers in midfield, Roberto Di Matteo has allowed former midfield enforcer Michael Essien to join Real Madrid on a season-long loan. Cesar Azpilicueta has been brought in to strengthen the right-back position and so it looks like Paulo Ferreira’s days at Stamford Bridge are numbered. Wigan’s Victor Moses has finally joined after a summer-long pursuit and like Daniel Sturridge, he can play the forward wing position but it is obvious that these two will be Fernando Torres’ main competition for the “no. 9” position. Just because Torres wears the no. 9 does not mean he is the automatic selection! So far though, Didier Drogba’s absence has not been felt thankfully for Chelsea fans.

 

Arsenal on the other hand, look to be on the decline this year as not only have they lost Van Persie but Alex Song joined Barcelona recently as well. Only Santi Cazorla looks to have settled into the EPL with Arsene Wenger's new first team strikers Olivier Giroud and Lukas Podolski struggling to find the back of the net. Have Arsenal become a feeder club for the likes of City, United and Barcelona?

 

Tottenham have managed to capture one of the EPL stars of last season Clint Dempsey from Fulham along with his teammate Moussa Dembele. Together with fellow new signings Gylfi Sigurdsson and Adebayor, Andre Villas-Boas obviously feels that he has adequate replacements to have let someone like Rafael Van der Vaart leave. The new signings will be vital to the team now with Luka Modric and Van der Vaart having left for Real Madrid and Hamburg respectively. Does Villas-Boas really have the tactical nous to succeed in the EPL? He certainly has a squad capable of challenging especially with his new no. 1 Hugo Lloris, signed from Lyon on D-Day!

 

Liverpool’s Brendan Rodgers is clearly making his mark on his squad, wheeling and dealing in the transfer market and letting the most expensive British footballer Andy Carroll, signed for £35 million from Newcastle United, join West Ham on a season-long loan. However, it will take a couple of years, if not a few, before Liverpool are back challenging for the title. Former England manager Sven-Göran Eriksson is correct in saying that Liverpool captain Steven Gerrard should leave Anfield if he ever wants to win the EPL title. At 32, he is not getting any younger!

 

The Rest

 

Queens Park Rangers have really strengthened their squad as they aim to survive in their second season back in the EPL. Having already signed experienced EPL players like Park Ji-Sung, Junior Hoilett, Robert Green, Ryan Nelsen, Andrew Johnson and Jose Bosingwa, Mark Hughes managed to capture Esteban Granero from Real Madrid and Stéphane M'Bia from Marseille. Bad boy and former club captain Joey Barton goes the opposite way to France on a season-long loan. The key though for Hughes is to have his new players integrate with his existing squad and gelling from the get-go.

 

Like QPR, West Ham have really strengthened their squad and Sam Allardyce managed to add Wolves’ Matt Jarvis, Carroll and Chelsea’s Yossi Benayoun in the final week of the transfer window. Expect the Hammers to stay up also.

 

Despite the surprise signing of Gaston Ramirez from Bologna, Southampton are still one of the favourites for the drop.

 

Norwich are the favourites for the drop and although they also have a new manager in Chris Hughton this season, I think they have what it takes to stay in the EPL at the end of this season. The Canaries have added the likes of Sebastian Bassong from Tottenham, Robert Snodgrass from Leeds, Michael Turner from Sunderland, Steven Whittaker from Rangers and Javier Garrido from Lazio as well as keeping club captain Grant Holt who had submitted a transfer request during the summer when contract negotiations broke down.

 

Although Reading have signed Pavel Pogrebnyak, who was a success for Fulham last season, they are most likely to join Southampton back in the Championship.

 

So who will be the third team that will leave their fans crying at the end of the season? It could be a toss-up between Aston Villa, West Bromwich Albion and Wigan.

 

Villa have brought in young Belgian international striker Christian Benteke from Genk, Dutch international Ron Vlaar from Feyenoord, Moroccan international Karim El Ahmadi from Feyenoord and Australian international Brett Holman from AZ Alkmaar. Can all these internationals help however?

 

Some of WBA’s signings include Ben Foster from Birmingham, Swedish international Markus Rosenberg from Werder Bremen, Belgian international Romelu Lukaku on loan from Chelsea and Macedonian international Goran Popov on loan from Dynamo Kiev. Steve Clarke’s men have started off the season strongly with a 3-0 hammering of Liverpool at home followed up by a respectable 1-1 draw at White Hart Lane. If they can keep up these performances then perhaps they will stay up.

 

Wigan have flirted with relegation in each of the past 3 seasons but Roberto Martinez has managed to conjure up some magic to keep them in the EPL each time. Having lost Hugo Rodallega to Fulham and now Moses to Chelsea, will his luck run out? Can the signing of Arouna Koné from Levante help Wigan get the goals they need? Will Ryo Miyaichi’s season-long loan from Arsenal be as successful for the Latics as it was for Bolton last season?

 

Keep An Eye Out!

 

As previously mentioned, Hazard looks like money well spent and if he can keep this form up, then he certainly could well be the signing of the season!

 

Other than him, Van Persie is still a sensational signing for United along with Kagawa who adds that creativity in the United midfield previously lacking.

 

Fulham will certainly not miss Dempsey with Berbatov brought in and Hamburg’s Mladen Petric having already scored a brace on debut.

 

Swansea’s Michu, signed for only £2 million from Rayo Vallecano, looks to be one of the bargains of the season! He has carried his form from last season where he scored 15 goals from midfield in a team fighting relegation in La Liga.

 

EPL Season 2012/2013 Preview

Here we are, about to get another season underway for arguably the most exciting domestic league in the world!

The Contenders

The make-up of the “Big Four”, traditionally comprised of Manchester United, Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal, has certainly changed. Without a doubt, Manchester City’s buying power under the ownership of Sheikh Mansour has seen them overtake Liverpool who begin a new era under former Swansea manager Brendan Rodgers.

After the climatic finish to last season where United were pipped to the post on goal difference by their neighbours City, bookmakers have installed City as favourites for this season just ahead of United.

Roberto Mancini has been frustrated with the lack of transfers at City, having only added Jack Rodwell this summer. However, they do have Carlos Tevez back and committed to the club after all the nonsense that went on between Mancini and him last season. Although City scored the most goals (93) and conceded the least (29) in the EPL last season, it will be a hard ask for them to defend their title, especially with their owners wanting a better performance in the Champions League than last season where they failed to get past the group stage.

United have certainly strengthened their squad with the addition of Shinji Kagawa, finally giving them some creativity in midfield, although they did bring Paul Scholes out of retirement last season and he is still going! Even better still, Sir Alex Ferguson has pulled off THE signing of the summer by getting in Robin van Persie from rivals Arsenal. Without a doubt, a Robin van Persie and Wayne Rooney tandem strikeforce will leave defenders shaking in their boots. Surprisingly Sir Alex has let industrious midfielder Park Ji-Sung join Queens Park Rangers, perhaps the marketing department just wanted to focus on expanding their fan-base into Japan having done enough in South Korea.

Personally, I would make United favourites for this season’s title. Sir Alex knows what it takes to compete on all fronts.

The Notables

European champions Chelsea, under the guidance of Roberto Di Matteo, should be in amongst it having added the likes of Eden Hazard and Marko Marin to their midfield. However, they will need Fernando Torres firing on all cylinders if they are to make a run at the title. Because if he does not, Chelsea are very light upfront with Didier Drogba leaving on a free transfer to Shanghai Shenhua after his contract finished up and young gun Romelu Lukaku going to West Bromwich Albion on loan. Looks like Daniel Sturridge will get his wish of playing more centrally. If Di Matteo manages to sign a striker such as Porto’s Hulk, then that would certainly give them more firepower.

Arsenal have gone seven years without a trophy and that drought looks set to continue as the club continues to lose key players. Arsene Wenger has finally spent some money bringing in midfielder Santi Cazorla and forwards Lukas Podolski and Olivier Giroud, the Ligue 1 top goalscorer in 2011/2012. As is Wenger’s style, expect to see Podolski roaming the wings similar to Thierry Henry when he first joined Arsenal from Juventus. Giroud will now replace van Persie at the pointy end of the formation and he looks physically ready for the rigours of the EPL. However, Arsenal really needed to splash the cash on some decent defenders to shore up his leaky defence that have let in 43 and 49 league goals in the last two seasons. A team that lets in that many goals cannot be expected to win the coveted title.

Tottenham look set to lose playmaker Luka Modric to Real Madrid meaning the playmaking duties will fall solely to Rafael van der Vaart. Gareth Bale has been handed the number 9 shirt and could play even further up the pitch with Spurs lacking strikers. Having failed to negotiate a contract with Emmanuel Adebayor, who performed well for them on loan from City last season, they currently only have Jermain Defoe as their recognised senior forward. Pre-season has seen new manager Andre Villas-Boas give youngster Harry Kane more of a run-out but AVB certainly needs to bring a new striker in if they want to compete. To date Spurs have brought in midfielder-cum-forward Gylfi Sigurdsson and defender Jan Vertonghen. Following AVB’s failings at Chelsea, it remains to be seen whether he has what it takes to manage in the EPL.

Liverpool are going through a rebuilding phase under young manager Rodgers and it will be a couple of years, if not a few, before they are back challenging for the title. However, an European place is certainly not out of the question. For the Europe League that is!

After Newcastle's unexpected success last season where they were pushing for a Champions League berth up until the last couple of weeks of the season, you can expect them to be in amongst the European spots again this season especially having kept their best players together like Demba Ba, Papiss Cisse, Yohan Cabaye, Cheik Tiote and club captain Fabricio Coloccini. After Ba's performances last season and with an apparent release clause in his contract being a measly £7 million during the summer, there were no takers for his services much to the delight of the Geordie fans. If Alan Pardew can add to his French contingent by bringing in international defenders Mathieu Debuchy and Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa, that would only strengthen a defence that leaked 51 league goals last season. That figure could have been higher if not for Newcastle's new number 1 Tim Krul's inspired performances between the posts.

The Rest

Bookmakers have set two of the three promoted clubs, Southampton and Reading, as favourites for relegation this season, along with Norwich who lost manager Paul Lambert to Aston Villa and have brought in Birmingham’s Chris Hughton as his replacement.

Wigan and Swansea are next in line with the bookmakers. Roberto Martinez, still with Wigan after a lot publicity of him being Liverpool’s first choice to replace sacked Kenny Dalglish, has managed to keep Wigan in the EPL despite flirting with relegation for the past 3 seasons and can be expected to do so again. Swansea on the other hand, are most likely destined to go down along with Southampton and Reading having lost Rodgers to Liverpool and replacing him with Danish legend Michael Laudrup. Not only do the Welsh side have a manager with no EPL experience, but they have lost young midfielder Joe Allen who followed his previous manager Rodgers to Anfield and failed to sign Sigurdsson permanently after his successful loan spell last season.

WBA are most likely to get involved in a relegation scrap especially having lost experienced manager Roy Hodgson to national duty. It will be interesting to see how Steve Clarke goes in his first senior role having been in and around big clubs as a coach and assistant manager.

Despite winning promotion via the playoffs, West Ham are expected to stay up having added no less than 8 players to their squad and with experienced EPL manager Sam Allardyce at the helm.

QPR have strengthened their squad well with a mixture of youth and experience so should maintain their EPL status.

Well, enjoy the season all and good luck to whomever you support!

Spain vs Italy Final Preview

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Tournament favourites Spain have made it to final albeit on the back of some unconvincing performances and with manager Vicente del Bosque still unsure of who to play as his “no. 9”. Eyebrows were raised when he named Alvaro Negredo for the semi-final against Portugal with Negredo only having played just one minute of Euro 2012 prior. His lack of playing time with the team showed as he was on a completely different wavelength to those around him.

Spain went through on penalties in an uneventful match that only had 2 shots on target during the 90 minutes of normal time. To Portugal’s credit, they pressured Spain high up the pitch early on and prevented the Spain imposing their trademark passing and pressing game. However, as the game wore on, fatigue set in for the Portuguese and Spain got into their rhythm. There were no goals still and the lottery that is the penalty shootout went the way of Spain as even Sergio Ramos copied Andrea Pirlo’s ‘Panenka’ style spot-kick.

Italy on the other hand have performed well above expectations coming into this tournament on the back of the ‘calcioscommesse' scandal back home affecting their domestic football. Mind you, I did pick 3 of the 4 eventual semi-finalists in my Euro 2012 preview with only the Netherlands ruining a clean sweep!

The Italians accounted for Germany, another tournament favourite, 2-1 thanks to their maverick striker Mario Balotelli, or Super Mario as his fans refer to him. There is so much publicity about him on and off the pitch that it is easy to forget that he is only still 21-years old! Here is a player who can infuriate just as much as he can dazzle you on the pitch. His first goal was a powerful header from 6-yards out having read the cross from his strike partner Antonio Cassano perfectly and his second, a powerful strike which swerved away into the top-right corner from just outside the box after a long ball from Riccardo Montolivo.

In my Euro 2012 preview I raised the issue of the German defensive frailties in their pre-Euro friendly internationals and after only conceding 2 goals in the group stage, they conceded 2 goals in their quarterfinal against a toothless Greek attack (much like their economy) and then another 2 in this semi-final. Their frailties finally showed through and without a doubt, both Italian goals were a result of poor German defending.

That is not to take anything away from Italy though as they do deserve to be in the final for the way they have gone about their football. Of the four semi-finalists, they are the only team that plays with 2 strikers in a 4-4-2 formation and a diamond midfield. All the others play a 4-2-3-1 formation and deploy one striker, or in Spain’s case, sometimes a ‘false nine’.

Germany’s Mesut Özil put away a penalty in the second minute of injury time after a handball by Italy’s Federico Balzaretti but it was nothing more than a consolation as they ran out of time to salvage anything from this match. Thus Italy maintained their remarkable unbeaten record against Germany in tournament football with four wins and four draws in their eight meetings.

Spain and Italy of course met in the first group match and that ended 1-all but first matches of a tournament are generally cagey affairs which mean that it would not be an accurate indicator. Not only that, but Italy have since disbanded the use of the 3-5-2 formation that was utilised in that match.

Italy’s midfield and strikeforce will remain unchanged with Balotelli starting again upfront alongside Cassano. Defender Ignazio Abate, who missed the semi-final with an injury, is likely to be fit in time for the final while fellow full-back Christian Maggio is also available after serving a one-match ban. The dangerman though that Spain have to watch out for is Pirlo who will be pulling all the strings from his deep-lying playmaker role. He has shown his vision throughout this tournament and set up the opening goal for Italy against Spain in their first match of Euro 2012.

Spain on the other hand, still need to work out what to do with their “no. 9” position in their 4-3-3 formation. Will del Bosque start Fernando Torres? Possibly. Or will Cesc Fabregas start as the ‘false nine’ especially given he scored the equaliser in their first match against the Italians? More likely.

Both teams are defensively sound with Spain only having conceded once all tournament, against Italy mind you, and Italy conceding three times with the third coming in injury time against the Germans after the match was pretty much won. The Italians even regained defender Giorgio Chiellini from injury after it looked like he was going to be ruled out for the rest of the tournament.

I have said Spain would be in the final all along and after the Netherlands failed to live up to their hype, Spain were my choice for the win. However, I do have a nagging feeling that the Italians might just pull a rabbit out of the hat! In 2006, a pre-tournament match-fixing scandal stoked Italy's fire to succeed as they won the World Cup in Germany and the same thing is happening now at Euro 2012! Without a doubt, Spain will dominate the possession statistics, such is their game of tiki-taka. However, they have been poor in the attacking department unlike Italy who may well make them pay.

Balotelli could even end up with the Euro 2012 Golden Boot if he scores and that would only serve to inflate his ego even more! Currently he is tied on 3 goals along with Portugal’s Cristiano Ronaldo, Croatia’s Mario Mandzukic, and my picks as tournament joint top goalscorers, Germany’s Mario Gomez and Russia’s Alan Dzagoev.

Have you ever wondered why Balotelli hardly smiles or celebrates his goals? Well, this is how he explains it, "When I score, I don't celebrate because I'm only doing my job. When a postman delivers letters, does he celebrate?"! Question is, will Italy’s postman deliver in the final?

Euro 2012 Quarterfinals

We are now down to the last quarterfinal to be played between England and Italy. So far all the favourites in their respective matches have made it through.

Portugal defeated the Czech Republic 1-0 thanks to a 79th minute goal from their captain Cristiano Ronaldo who looks to have brought his domestic form with Real Madrid to Euro 2012. The Czechs lacked a cutting edge in the final third especially with their captain and playmaker Tomas Rosicky missing with an Achilles injury. So much so that they only managed 2 shots all game and neither of them were on target. Hard to win a match like that ain’t it?!

Germany emphatically defeated Greece 4-2 although that scoreline was a tad generous for the Greeks. With Greece playing very defensively and deploying one lone striker similar to the Czech Republic, Germany dominated possession and it was only a matter of time before they broke through. German captain Philipp Lahm provided that six minutes before the break as he cut in from the left and let fly with his right foot from outside the 18-yard box. His shot swerved and dipped away from Greek keeper Michail Sifakis who just managed to get a hand to it but it was not enough to keep it out.

Ten minutes after half-time Germany were shocked as Giorgios Samaras beat his marker and got on the end of Dimitris Salpingidis’ low cross and slid the ball under the diving German keeper Manuel Neuer. However, they could not repel the relentless German attacks and within six minutes Sami Khedira timed his run perfectly into the box to meet Jerome Boateng’s cross and volley into the roof of the net with Greek defenders left flat-footed.

Seven minutes later Miroslav Klose, preferred in place of joint tournament top goalscorer Mario Gomez, headed home into an empty net as Sifakis decided to come out but got nowhere near the ball. In the 74th minute Marco Reus, another of the three changes that Joachim Löw made to his starting line-up, justified his selection with a sweet volley that crashed in off the underside of the bar to make it 4-1. The Greeks then had a penalty in the 89th minute converted by Salpingidis after Boateng was harshly ruled to have handballed inside the area as he jumped and had his back to the ball trying to block it. It was of little consolation sends the Greeks back home to pick up the pieces of their game, and economy.

Tournament favourites Spain are also through after a 2-0 win over a disappointing France who went with a 4-5-1 formation just like the Czechs and Greeks, leaving Karim Benzema isolated upfront. The French barely tested Spain and ended the match with four shots, one on target. Despite Spain lining up again with 6 midfielders in their 4-3-3 formation and using Cesc Fábregas as the ‘false nine’, they were allowed to control proceedings and duly took the lead in the 19th minute as Xabi Alonso was left free in the area to meet Jordi Alba’s cross with a downward header into the far post. Alonso then crowned his night in which he earned his 100th international cap with a second goal from the penalty spot after Pedro was brought down in second half injury time.

Seems to be a pattern here! Set out a defensive stall with a 4-5-1 formation and kiss the tournament goodbye!

Spain next take on Cristiano Ronaldo, oh and Portugal, whilst Germany, now having made the semi-finals of four major tournaments in a row, await the winner of the final quarterfinal.

So what can be expected from the England-Italy match? I would imagine that Roy Hodgson would stick to his 4-4-2 formation, using a flat four in midfield with two wingers in Ashley Young and most likely James Milner over Theo Walcott. Wayne Rooney will lead the line alongside his Manchester United teammate Danny Welbeck. Mind you, Hodgson has been known to utilise a 4-5-1 though, most recently with West Bromwich Albion, and if he does that it would spell disaster!

Italy too will stick with their version of a 4-4-2 having moved away from the 3-5-2 formation at the start of the tournament which includes a diamond midfield. Expect Andrea Pirlo to play in the holding midfielder role as a deep-lying playmaker with Daniele De Rossi and Claudio Marchisio in front of him. Brazilian-born Thiago Motta is struggling with a hamstring strain and could be replaced in the ‘No. 10’ role by Alessandro Diamanti or more likely, Riccardo Montolivo. Cesare Prandelli will bring in Mario Balotelli upfront alongside Antonio Cassano after he scored with a spectacular volley in their previous match. Expect some fireworks there! Balotelli will be up against a few of his Manchester City teammates who surely know what buttons to press that will make him see red!

I expect that this will be the first game of the tournament to see extra-time and a penalty shootout. Now we all know about England’s record in the penalties at major tournaments…

Do not be surprised to see a Spain versus Germany final now with Spain making history in the end.

Random fact: There were 2.5 goals more per round in the English Premier League than in the Serie A last season.

C'est La Vie!

The final group matches were concluded today as England laboured to a 1-0 victory over co-hosts Ukraine. England manager Roy Hodgson had suggested leading into this match that they would look to control the game but instead, were on the back foot as they faced relentless waves of Ukrainian forays forward. Ukraine knew a victory would see them through to the quarterfinals but started the match without their star striker and talismanic captain Andriy Shevchenko who picked up a knock in their loss to France.

After serving his 2-match suspension, England’s own talisman Wayne Rooney returned to the starting line-up chomping at the bit and duly delivered the winning goal with a simple nod-in from a yard out in the 48th minute. Captain Steven Gerrard put in his usual teasing cross which deflected twice, fooling Ukrainian keeper Andriy Pyatov who really should have done better at his near post to get his foot to the ball, and ended up at the back post for the onrushing Rooney.

Rooney could have had more than one goal but having barely played in the last month and a half, it was obvious that the lad was lacking sharpness. In order for England to stand a chance of making the semi-finals, he will need to improve along with their wingers James Milner and Ashley Young who went missing for large parts of the game.

Ukraine however will feel aggrieved that they were denied an equaliser when the officials deemed that John Terry had cleared the ball off the goal-line despite replays showing clearly that the whole ball had in fact crossed the goal-line. It begs to wonder, what is the point of the goal line official who had a clear view of the incident?! The sooner goal-line technology is brought in, the better I say. Had that goal been correctly awarded, who knows how the game might have turned out? It easily could have been Ukraine in the next round had they gone on to win.

Sadly for Ukrainian fans, veteran attacking players Shevchenko and Andriy Voronin announced their international retirements after the match but the future looks good judging by the performances of their next generation, players like Andriy Yarmolenko, Marko Devic and Artem Milevskiy.

As a result of the win, England ended up top of Group D and avoided a quarterfinal meeting with Spain, taking on Italy instead. Their task is made slightly easier with Italy’s defender Giorgio Chiellini ruled out of Euro 2012 after picking up a hamstring injury in the match against the Republic of Ireland. France will take on Spain as they failed to at least match England’s result, going down 2-0 in a disappointing defeat to an already eliminated Sweden.

The French were second best throughout, never getting into stride going forward and resorting to long shots mainly. The Swedes were resolute in defence and dangerous going forward. In the 54th minute, Sweden captain Zlatan Ibrahimovic executed an exquisitely timed scissor-kick volley from just inside the 18-yard box to score a sensational goal. Probably the best goal of the tournament so far with the ball flying into French keeper Hugo Lloris’ bottom right-hand corner and leaving him diving at thin air.

A lethargic France seldom looked likely to take control of the match, and with it the destiny of Group D, back to their advantage. Substitute Olivier Giroud should have had an equaliser for France but he headed a corner over the bar from close range.

Sweden made the score-line pretty in injury time when substitute Samuel Holmén hammered Andreas Granqvist's cross against the bar and Sebastian Larsson was on hand to emphatically volley the rebound into an unguarded net.

Laurent Blanc will be hoping for a better performance from his men if they are to stand a chance against Spain.